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Slower Economy, Oil
Leave Stocks Mixed
Associated Press
09.23.2004
A slowdown in economic growth and oil prices hovering
around $48 per barrel renewed Wall Street's fears of disappointing
third-quarter earnings Thursday and kept stocks mixed.
In late morning trading, the Dow Jones industrial
average fell 49.70, or 0.5 percent, to 10,059.48, one day after
the index lost more than 135 points.
Broader stock indicators were modestly mixed. The
Standard & Poor's 500 index was down 3.21, or 0.3 percent, at
1,110.35, and the Nasdaq composite index gained 2.99, or 0.2 percent,
to 1,888.70.
A lower reading of the Conference Board's index of
leading economic indicators, the third straight monthly decline,
sent a signal to the markets that economic growth has been slowing
and would likely taper off through the end of the year.
Analysts said oil prices, which shot past $48 Wednesday,
would keep consumer spending down and business costs rising, a combination
that will squeeze profit margins and lower third-quarter earnings.
A barrel of light crude was quoted at $48.18 Thursday, down 17 cents,
on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
"When you take a look at the leading economic
indicators, it's very clear that the price of oil is having an impact
on the economy," said Hugh Johnson, chief investment officer
at First Albany Corp. "Just look at the negative earnings statements
from some of the most stable companies out there. If the markets
are going to move higher, we're going to need some relief on the
oil front so that the earnings picture improves."
The Conference Board said its Composite Index of
Leading Economic Indicators fell 0.3 percent in August to 115.7,
following a decline of 0.3 percent in July and larger than the 0.2
percent drop forecast by economists. The index, which measures the
potential for future economic growth, left Wall Street with reduced
hopes for a strong finish to the year, though the Conference Board
said the three months of decreases were not enough to signal an
end to growth entirely.
Investors' concerns about job growth - and the resulting
consumer spending - increased as the Labor Department reported a
14,000 increase in first-time jobless claims for the week. While
the hurricanes in Florida were blamed for the jump, investors have
been hoping for a return to this spring's strong job growth as a
sign of strength in the economy.
One day after Morgan Stanley's disappointing earnings
dragged on the brokerage sector, A.G. Edwards Inc. reported results
that also fell short expectations. The company's stock fell 31 cents
to $34.16 after A.G. Edwards missed estimates by 3 cents per share.
Morgan Stanley rebounded 63 cents to $49.35.
A downgrade of the entire petroleum sector by Deutsche
Bank weighed heavily on energy stocks, and particularly on ExxonMobil,
which was separately downgraded by the brokerage firm because it
felt the stock was fairly valued with limited potential to move
higher. ExxonMobil dropped $1.02 cents to $47.84.
Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia Inc. jumped $2.38
to $17.36 after the company announced an agreement with reality
television producer Mark Burnett to collaborate on new television
programming. The move will refresh the company's television offerings
as Martha Stewart prepares to serve a five-month prison sentence.
Pharmacy chain Rite Aid Corp. broke even for its
second quarter, compared to a loss a year ago. Wall Street had been
expecting the company to lose 2 cents per share for the quarter.
Rite Aid slipped 7 cents to $3.69.
The tech sector saw another company post a profit
warning as Andrew Corp. said it would miss its fourth-quarter forecasts
due to higher costs and lower demand. The telecommunications system
provider nonetheless rose 31 cents to $11.53.
Declining issues barely outnumbered advancers on
the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to 542.9 million
shares, compared to 580.47 million at the same point Wednesday.
The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies was up
0.21, or 0.04 percent, at 566.10.
Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average fell 0.6 percent.
In afternoon trading, Britain's FTSE 100 was down 0.5 percent, Germany's
DAX index slid 0.9 percent, and France's CAC-40 dropped 1.1 percent.
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